What are the possibilities? Who might be coming in? Who might be sent out? Could they do nothing? Are they going to blow it up or try to compete for a title?
These are the kind of questions that Danny Ainge needs to be asking himself. The last one is the most interesting because that will determine every move that follows. From everything I've seen this season, as presently constructed, the Celtics can not win a championship. The problem is that they are stuck in the same position that they were when Danny took over, mediocrity. It's the death zone for an NBA team, just good enough to make the playoffs but not good enough to really compete. You never get a high enough draft pick to obtain a franchise player and you never get over the hump to being a great team. The only options they have now are to "blow it up" and start all over again, hope for a big free agent signing, or make trades to keep the team a title contender.
Option 1 Blow It Up: This is a pretty enticing option for many reasons. The age of the Big 3 is a huge concern going forward, Rondo is reportedly a problem in the locker room and hard to get along with, KG and Ray are done after this year, and the 2012 draft looks great. If this is the course of action that the Celtics choose to take, then it would pretty much just be a firesale to get what they can out of the guys they have and then tank for a good pick in the draft. Taking some rumors I've read lately, you might see something like Ray Allen to Minnesota for Michael Beasley, Anthony Randolph, and Darko Milicic. Then Rondo sent to Golden State in return for Steph Curry and Kwame Brown, while Pierce could be dealt to LA (Pierce in purple and gold makes me want to puke) in a three team deal to net the Celtics draft picks and players. Kevin Garnett would be tough to deal because of his large contract, but worst case scenario his contract is just allowed to expire after the season. The Celtics would go into next season with Steph Curry and at least three first round picks. Not a bad starting spot for a rebuilding team. This was the strategy that Ainge used before he got KG and Ray Allen. He stockpiled draft picks like Al Jefferson, Delonte West, Ryan Gomes, Gerald Green, Jeff Green etc. and then cashed them in for Ray Allen and Kevin Garnett when the time was right.
Option 2 Pray for Dwight: This is really the only big time free agent signing that would help this team for next year. If the Celtics just stand pat at the trade deadline and allow this team to finish the year then they must be reasonably sure that Dwight is coming to Boston. The only potential move that would make sense would be to send Rondo to Golden State in the aforementioned deal for Steph Curry and Kwame Brown. Curry makes less than Rondo and would allow the Celtics to also make a play for Deron Williams (a close friend of Dwight). This is the plan that I like the most but also the least likely to happen unfortunately. Imagine a Celtics starting five next year of Williams-Curry-Pierce-Garnett(re-signed)-Howard. That's a lineup that would immediately compete for a championship.
Option 3 Reload: This option is really only good for this year. The Celtics need a couple things right now to become a team that can compete for a championship. They need a big guy that rebounds and can score inside and a perimeter player that can create his own offense. With the news coming out today(2/29) that Lamar Odom would like to be bought out and come to Boston that would solve the big man problem. As much as I hated Lamar when he played for the Lakers he is a good big man that can rebound and score inside. The perimeter player that can create his own offense could come from another legitimate rumor circulating the web, Jermaine O'Neal and a 1st round pick to Minnesota for Michael Beasley. I know that "Super Cool Beas" doesn't have the best reputation but he's exactly what the Celtics need for their ailing offense. At 23 he also could be a major player for the future. Probably my least favorite option because even with those moves the Celtics still aren't getting by the Heat or Bulls, but at least they'd be contenders.
Those are really the only three options that Danny Ainge has and by March 15th, the trade deadline, we'll all know which one he chose. Personally I'm hoping that, whatever he decides to do, Paul Pierce is still wearing Green when it's all said and done. I was watching some youtube videos earlier and this one caught my eye. I would recommend watching the whole thing but if not then at least fast forward to the 8:00 mark and look at Paul Pierce's face when he gets his ring. It clearly means something for him to be a Celtic and to win with the Celtics. He needs to be here to teach the next generation of players what being a "Celtic" is all about.
The second thing I want to talk about is the Dwight Howard situation in Orlando. It seems like every day new information comes out about where he wants to be traded, or even if he wants to be traded. In the last week I think I've read that he wants to be traded to New Jersey, LA, Dallas, or Chicago, then I read that he might exercise his player option and stay in Orlando another year, then I heard that he wants to become a free agent so he can pick his destination. I'm not even sure Dwight Howard knows what he wants to do. The problem with Dwight Howard is that he saw what happened to Lebron when he left the Cavs and he saw what happened to Carmelo when he forced his way out of Denver. Dwight doesn't want the backlash that either of them got because he loves to be loved, but at the same time he wants to leave Orlando. My prediction on the whole situation is that he doesn't get traded before the deadline this year. I actually think that Orlando might bring in another star to play with Dwight, perhaps Steve Nash if they can get him away from Phoenix. Dwight has given the Orlando ownership and general manager Otis Smith enough of an indication that he might be open to staying that I don't think they'll trade him. It will be terrible for the Magic when he leaves in free agency this summer, most likely for Dallas or Brooklyn, but I don't blame the Magic for hoping that he'll stay. Whether it's by trade or through free agency, Dwight is leaving Orlando and most likely going to wherever Deron Williams ends up. Just remember when you boo Lebron for leaving Cleveland high and dry that Dwight is going to do the same to Orlando. I would respect him more if he just told them that he wasn't going to re-sign and said "trade me now, I'm not coming back" (or just signs an extension) but he doesn't want to be the "bad guy" so that's not happening. At least Carmelo was honest with the Nuggets. Dwight Howard may think of himself as Superman but right now he's showing that he has the fragile ego of Clark Kent.
Thanks for reading, leave a comment, become a fan of this blog, go back and read all my other posts, and enjoy what could be the last two weeks of the Big 4 era in Boston.
-Josh